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feat(forecast): drive simulation from market state (#1976)

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Elie Habib
2026-03-21 11:09:04 +04:00
committed by GitHub
parent 2e16159bb6
commit 5b987ea434
3 changed files with 341 additions and 15 deletions
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8
tests/forecast-trace-export.test.mjs
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@@ -180,6 +180,7 @@ describe('forecast trace artifact builder', () => {
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.worldSignalCount === 'number');
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.marketBucketCount === 'number');
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.transmissionEdgeCount === 'number');
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.marketConsequenceCount === 'number');
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.topMarketBucket === 'string');
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.simulationEnvironmentSummary === 'string');
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.memoryMutationSummary === 'string');
@@ -215,6 +216,7 @@ describe('forecast trace artifact builder', () => {
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.branchWatchlist));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.marketWatchlist));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.transmissionWatchlist));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.marketConsequenceWatchlist));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.simulationWatchlist));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.interactionWatchlist));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.report.replayWatchlist));
@@ -229,6 +231,8 @@ describe('forecast trace artifact builder', () => {
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.worldSignals?.signals));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.marketState?.buckets));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.marketTransmission?.edges));
assert.ok(Array.isArray(artifacts.worldState.simulationState?.marketConsequences?.items));
assert.ok(typeof artifacts.summary.worldStateSummary.marketInputCoverage?.loadedSourceCount === 'number');
assert.ok(artifacts.forecasts[0].payload.caseFile.worldState.summary.includes('Iran'));
assert.equal(artifacts.forecasts[0].payload.caseFile.branches.length, 3);
assert.equal(artifacts.forecasts[0].payload.traceMeta.narrativeSource, 'fallback');
@@ -869,6 +873,10 @@ describe('forecast run world state', () => {
assert.equal(supplyUnit?.posture, 'contested');
assert.ok((marketUnit?.postureScore || 0) < 0.77);
assert.ok((supplyUnit?.postureScore || 0) < 0.77);
assert.ok((marketUnit?.marketContext?.confirmationScore || 0) > 0);
assert.ok((supplyUnit?.marketContext?.linkedBucketIds || []).length >= 1);
assert.ok((worldState.simulationState.marketConsequences?.items || []).length >= 1);
assert.ok((worldState.report.marketConsequenceWatchlist || []).length >= 1);
});
it('builds report outputs from simulation outcomes and cross-situation effects', () => {