mirror of
https://github.com/koala73/worldmonitor.git
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* feat(market): Hyperliquid perp positioning flow as leading indicator Adds a 4-component composite (funding × volume × OI × basis) "positioning stress" score for ~14 perps spanning crypto (BTC/ETH/SOL), tokenized gold (PAXG), commodity perps (WTI, Brent, Gold, Silver, Pt, Pd, Cu, NatGas), and FX perps (EUR, JPY). Polls Hyperliquid /info every 5min via Railway cron; publishes a single self-contained snapshot with embedded sparkline arrays (60 samples = 5h history). Surfaces as a new "Perp Flow" tab in CommoditiesPanel with separate Commodities / FX sections. Why: existing CFTC COT is weekly + US-centric; market quotes are price-only. Hyperliquid xyz: perps give 24/7 global positioning data that has been shown to lead spot moves on commodities and FX by minutes-to-hours. Implementation: - scripts/seed-hyperliquid-flow.mjs — pure scoring math, symbol whitelist, content-type + schema validation, prior-state read via readSeedSnapshot(), warmup contract (first run / post-outage zeroes vol/OI deltas), missing-symbol carry-forward, $500k/24h min-notional guard to suppress thin xyz: noise. TTL 2700s (9× cadence). - proto/worldmonitor/market/v1/get_hyperliquid_flow.proto + service.proto registration; make generate regenerated client/server bindings. - server/worldmonitor/market/v1/get-hyperliquid-flow.ts — getCachedJson reader matching get-cot-positioning.ts seeded-handler pattern. - server/gateway.ts cache-tier entry (medium). - api/health.js: hyperliquidFlow registered with maxStaleMin:15 (3× cadence) + transitional ON_DEMAND_KEYS gate for the first ~7 days of bake-in. - api/seed-health.js mirror with intervalMin:5. - scripts/seed-bundle-market-backup.mjs entry (NIXPACKS auto-redeploy on scripts/** watch). - src/components/MarketPanel.ts: CommoditiesPanel grows a Perp Flow tab + fetchHyperliquidFlow() RPC method; OI Δ1h derived from sparkOi tail. - src/App.ts: prime via primeVisiblePanelData() + recurring refresh via refreshScheduler.scheduleRefresh() at 5min cadence (panel does NOT own setInterval; matches the App.ts:1251 lifecycle convention). - 28 unit tests covering scoring parity, warmup flag, min-notional guard, schema rejection, missing-symbol carry-forward, post-outage cold start, sparkline cap, alert threshold. Tests: test:data 5169/5169, hyperliquid-flow-seed 28/28, route-cache-tier 5/5, typecheck + typecheck:api green. One pre-existing test:sidecar failure (cloud-fallback origin headers) is unrelated and reproduces on origin/main. * fix(hyperliquid-flow): address review feedback — volume baseline window, warmup lifecycle, error logging Two real correctness bugs and four review nits from PR #3074 review pass. Correctness fixes: 1. Volume baseline was anchored to the OLDEST 12 samples, not the newest. sparkVol is newest-at-tail (shiftAndAppend), so slice(0, 12) pinned the rolling mean to the first hour of data forever once len >= 12. Volume scoring would drift further from current conditions each poll. Switched to slice(-VOLUME_BASELINE_MIN_SAMPLES) so the baseline tracks the most recent window. Regression test added. 2. Warmup flag flipped to false on the second successful poll while volume scoring still needed 12+ samples to activate. UI told users warmup lasted ~1h but the badge disappeared after 5 min. Tied per-asset warmup to real baseline readiness (coldStart OR vol samples < 12 OR prior OI missing). Snapshot-level warmup = any asset still warming. Three new tests cover the persist-through-baseline-build, clear-once-ready, and missing-OI paths. Review nits: - Handler: bare catch swallowed Redis/parse errors; now logs err.message. - Panel: bare catch in fetchHyperliquidFlow hid RPC 500s; now logs. - MarketPanel.ts: deleted hand-rolled RawHyperliquidAsset; mapHyperliquidFlowResponse now takes GetHyperliquidFlowResponse from the generated client so proto drift fails compilation instead of silently. - Seeder: added @ts-check + JSDoc on computeAsset per type-safety rule. - validateUpstream: MAX_UPSTREAM_UNIVERSE=2000 cap bounds memory. - buildSnapshot: logs unknown xyz: perps upstream (once per run) so ops sees when Hyperliquid adds markets we could whitelist. Tests: 37/37 green; typecheck + typecheck:api clean. * fix(hyperliquid-flow): wire bootstrap hydration per AGENTS.md mandate Greptile review caught that AGENTS.md:187 mandates new data sources be wired into bootstrap hydration. Plan had deferred this on "lazy deep-dive signal" grounds, but the project convention is binding. - server/_shared/cache-keys.ts: add hyperliquidFlow to BOOTSTRAP_CACHE_KEYS + BOOTSTRAP_TIERS ('slow' — non-blocking, page-load-parallel). - api/bootstrap.js: add to inlined BOOTSTRAP_CACHE_KEYS + SLOW_KEYS so bootstrap.test.mjs canonical-mirror assertions pass. - src/components/MarketPanel.ts: - Import getHydratedData from @/services/bootstrap. - New mapHyperliquidFlowSeed() normalizes the raw seed-JSON shape (numeric fields) into HyperliquidFlowView. The RPC mapper handles the proto shape (string-encoded numbers); bootstrap emits the raw blob. - fetchHyperliquidFlow now reads hydrated data first, renders immediately, then refreshes from RPC — mirrors FearGreedPanel pattern. Tests: 72/72 green (bootstrap + cache-tier + hyperliquid-flow-seed).
334 lines
14 KiB
JavaScript
334 lines
14 KiB
JavaScript
#!/usr/bin/env node
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// @ts-check
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/**
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* Hyperliquid perp positioning flow seeder.
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*
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* Polls the public Hyperliquid /info endpoint every 5 minutes, computes a
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* 4-component composite "positioning stress" score (funding / volume / OI /
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* basis) per asset, and publishes a self-contained snapshot — current metrics
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* plus short per-asset sparkline arrays for funding, OI and score.
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*
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* Used as a leading indicator for commodities / crypto / FX in CommoditiesPanel.
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*/
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import { loadEnvFile, runSeed, readSeedSnapshot } from './_seed-utils.mjs';
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loadEnvFile(import.meta.url);
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export const CANONICAL_KEY = 'market:hyperliquid:flow:v1';
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export const CACHE_TTL_SECONDS = 2700; // 9× cron cadence (5 min); honest grace window
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export const SPARK_MAX = 60; // 5h @ 5min
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export const HYPERLIQUID_URL = 'https://api.hyperliquid.xyz/info';
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export const REQUEST_TIMEOUT_MS = 15_000;
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export const MIN_NOTIONAL_USD_24H = 500_000;
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export const STALE_SYMBOL_DROP_AFTER_POLLS = 3;
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export const VOLUME_BASELINE_MIN_SAMPLES = 12; // 1h @ 5min cadence — minimum history to score volume spike
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export const MAX_UPSTREAM_UNIVERSE = 2000; // defensive cap; Hyperliquid has ~200 perps today
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// Hardcoded symbol whitelist — never iterate the full universe.
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// `class`: scoring threshold class. `display`: UI label. `group`: panel section.
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export const ASSETS = [
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{ symbol: 'BTC', class: 'crypto', display: 'BTC', group: 'crypto' },
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{ symbol: 'ETH', class: 'crypto', display: 'ETH', group: 'crypto' },
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{ symbol: 'SOL', class: 'crypto', display: 'SOL', group: 'crypto' },
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{ symbol: 'PAXG', class: 'commodity', display: 'PAXG (gold)', group: 'metals' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:CL', class: 'commodity', display: 'WTI Crude', group: 'oil' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:BRENTOIL', class: 'commodity', display: 'Brent Crude', group: 'oil' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:GOLD', class: 'commodity', display: 'Gold', group: 'metals' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:SILVER', class: 'commodity', display: 'Silver', group: 'metals' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:PLATINUM', class: 'commodity', display: 'Platinum', group: 'metals' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:PALLADIUM', class: 'commodity', display: 'Palladium', group: 'metals' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:COPPER', class: 'commodity', display: 'Copper', group: 'industrial' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:NATGAS', class: 'commodity', display: 'Natural Gas', group: 'gas' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:EUR', class: 'commodity', display: 'EUR', group: 'fx' },
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{ symbol: 'xyz:JPY', class: 'commodity', display: 'JPY', group: 'fx' },
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];
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// Risk weights — must sum to 1.0
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export const WEIGHTS = { funding: 0.30, volume: 0.25, oi: 0.25, basis: 0.20 };
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export const THRESHOLDS = {
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crypto: { funding: 0.001, volume: 5.0, oi: 0.20, basis: 0.05 },
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commodity: { funding: 0.0005, volume: 3.0, oi: 0.15, basis: 0.03 },
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};
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export const ALERT_THRESHOLD = 60;
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// ── Pure scoring helpers ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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export function clamp(x, lo = 0, hi = 100) {
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if (!Number.isFinite(x)) return 0;
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return Math.max(lo, Math.min(hi, x));
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}
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export function scoreFunding(rate, threshold) {
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if (!Number.isFinite(rate) || threshold <= 0) return 0;
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return clamp((Math.abs(rate) / threshold) * 100);
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}
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export function scoreVolume(currentVol, avgVol, threshold) {
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if (!Number.isFinite(currentVol) || !(avgVol > 0) || threshold <= 0) return 0;
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return clamp(((currentVol / avgVol) / threshold) * 100);
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}
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export function scoreOi(currentOi, prevOi, threshold) {
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if (!Number.isFinite(currentOi) || !(prevOi > 0) || threshold <= 0) return 0;
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return clamp((Math.abs(currentOi - prevOi) / prevOi / threshold) * 100);
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}
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export function scoreBasis(mark, oracle, threshold) {
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if (!Number.isFinite(mark) || !(oracle > 0) || threshold <= 0) return 0;
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return clamp((Math.abs(mark - oracle) / oracle / threshold) * 100);
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}
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/**
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* Compute composite score and alerts for one asset.
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*
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* `prevAsset` may be null/undefined for cold start; in that case OI delta and
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* volume spike are scored as 0 (we lack baselines).
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*
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* Per-asset `warmup` is TRUE until the volume baseline has VOLUME_BASELINE_MIN_SAMPLES
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* and there is a prior OI to compute delta against — NOT just on the first poll after
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* cold start. Without this, the "warming up" badge flips to false on poll 2 while the
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* score is still missing most of its baseline.
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*
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* @param {{ symbol: string; display: string; class: 'crypto'|'commodity'; group: string }} meta
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* @param {Record<string, string>} ctx
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* @param {any} prevAsset
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* @param {{ coldStart?: boolean }} [opts]
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*/
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export function computeAsset(meta, ctx, prevAsset, opts = {}) {
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const t = THRESHOLDS[meta.class];
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const fundingRate = Number(ctx.funding);
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const currentOi = Number(ctx.openInterest);
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const markPx = Number(ctx.markPx);
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const oraclePx = Number(ctx.oraclePx);
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const dayNotional = Number(ctx.dayNtlVlm);
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const prevOi = prevAsset?.openInterest ?? null;
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const prevVolSamples = /** @type {number[]} */ ((prevAsset?.sparkVol || []).filter(
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/** @param {unknown} v */ (v) => Number.isFinite(v)
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));
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const fundingScore = scoreFunding(fundingRate, t.funding);
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// Volume spike scored against the MOST RECENT 12 samples in sparkVol.
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// sparkVol is newest-at-tail (see shiftAndAppend), so we must slice(-N) — NOT
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// slice(0, N), which would anchor the baseline to the oldest window and never
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// update after the first hour.
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let volumeScore = 0;
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const volumeBaselineReady = prevVolSamples.length >= VOLUME_BASELINE_MIN_SAMPLES;
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if (dayNotional >= MIN_NOTIONAL_USD_24H && volumeBaselineReady) {
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const recent = prevVolSamples.slice(-VOLUME_BASELINE_MIN_SAMPLES);
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const avg = recent.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / recent.length;
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volumeScore = scoreVolume(dayNotional, avg, t.volume);
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}
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const oiScore = prevOi != null ? scoreOi(currentOi, prevOi, t.oi) : 0;
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const basisScore = scoreBasis(markPx, oraclePx, t.basis);
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const composite = clamp(
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fundingScore * WEIGHTS.funding +
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volumeScore * WEIGHTS.volume +
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oiScore * WEIGHTS.oi +
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basisScore * WEIGHTS.basis,
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);
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const sparkFunding = shiftAndAppend(prevAsset?.sparkFunding, Number.isFinite(fundingRate) ? fundingRate : 0);
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const sparkOi = shiftAndAppend(prevAsset?.sparkOi, Number.isFinite(currentOi) ? currentOi : 0);
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const sparkScore = shiftAndAppend(prevAsset?.sparkScore, composite);
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const sparkVol = shiftAndAppend(prevAsset?.sparkVol, Number.isFinite(dayNotional) ? dayNotional : 0);
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// Warmup stays TRUE until both baselines are usable — cold-start OR insufficient
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// volume history OR missing prior OI. Clears only when the asset can produce all
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// four component scores.
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const warmup = opts.coldStart === true || !volumeBaselineReady || prevOi == null;
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const alerts = [];
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if (composite >= ALERT_THRESHOLD) {
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alerts.push(`HIGH RISK ${composite.toFixed(0)}/100`);
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}
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return {
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symbol: meta.symbol,
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display: meta.display,
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class: meta.class,
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group: meta.group,
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funding: Number.isFinite(fundingRate) ? fundingRate : null,
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openInterest: Number.isFinite(currentOi) ? currentOi : null,
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markPx: Number.isFinite(markPx) ? markPx : null,
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oraclePx: Number.isFinite(oraclePx) ? oraclePx : null,
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dayNotional: Number.isFinite(dayNotional) ? dayNotional : null,
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fundingScore,
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volumeScore,
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oiScore,
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basisScore,
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composite,
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sparkFunding,
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sparkOi,
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sparkScore,
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sparkVol,
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stale: false,
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staleSince: null,
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missingPolls: 0,
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alerts,
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warmup,
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};
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}
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function shiftAndAppend(prev, value) {
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const arr = Array.isArray(prev) ? prev.slice(-(SPARK_MAX - 1)) : [];
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arr.push(value);
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return arr;
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}
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// ── Hyperliquid client ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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export async function fetchHyperliquidMetaAndCtxs(fetchImpl = fetch) {
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const resp = await fetchImpl(HYPERLIQUID_URL, {
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method: 'POST',
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headers: {
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'Content-Type': 'application/json',
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Accept: 'application/json',
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'User-Agent': 'WorldMonitor/1.0 (+https://worldmonitor.app)',
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},
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body: JSON.stringify({ type: 'metaAndAssetCtxs' }),
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signal: AbortSignal.timeout(REQUEST_TIMEOUT_MS),
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});
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if (!resp.ok) throw new Error(`Hyperliquid HTTP ${resp.status}`);
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const ct = resp.headers?.get?.('content-type') || '';
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if (!ct.toLowerCase().includes('application/json')) {
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throw new Error(`Hyperliquid wrong content-type: ${ct || '<missing>'}`);
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}
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const json = await resp.json();
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return json;
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}
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/**
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* Strict shape validation. Hyperliquid returns `[meta, assetCtxs]` where
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* meta = { universe: [{ name, ... }, ...] }
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* assetCtxs = [{ funding, openInterest, markPx, oraclePx, dayNtlVlm, ... }, ...]
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* with assetCtxs[i] aligned to universe[i].
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*
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* Throws on any mismatch — never persist a partial / malformed payload.
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*/
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export function validateUpstream(raw) {
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if (!Array.isArray(raw) || raw.length < 2) {
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throw new Error('Hyperliquid payload not a [meta, assetCtxs] tuple');
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}
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const [meta, assetCtxs] = raw;
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if (!meta || !Array.isArray(meta.universe)) {
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throw new Error('Hyperliquid meta.universe missing or not array');
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}
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if (meta.universe.length < 50) {
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throw new Error(`Hyperliquid universe suspiciously small: ${meta.universe.length}`);
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}
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if (meta.universe.length > MAX_UPSTREAM_UNIVERSE) {
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throw new Error(`Hyperliquid universe over cap: ${meta.universe.length} > ${MAX_UPSTREAM_UNIVERSE}`);
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}
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if (!Array.isArray(assetCtxs) || assetCtxs.length !== meta.universe.length) {
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throw new Error('Hyperliquid assetCtxs length does not match universe');
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}
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for (const m of meta.universe) {
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if (typeof m?.name !== 'string') throw new Error('Hyperliquid universe entry missing name');
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}
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return { universe: meta.universe, assetCtxs };
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}
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export function indexBySymbol({ universe, assetCtxs }) {
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const out = new Map();
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for (let i = 0; i < universe.length; i++) {
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out.set(universe[i].name, assetCtxs[i] || {});
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}
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return out;
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}
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// ── Main build path ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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/**
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* Build a fresh snapshot from the upstream payload + the previous Redis snapshot.
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* Pure function — caller passes both inputs.
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*/
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export function buildSnapshot(upstream, prevSnapshot, opts = {}) {
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const validated = validateUpstream(upstream);
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const ctxBySymbol = indexBySymbol(validated);
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const now = opts.now || Date.now();
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const prevByName = new Map();
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if (prevSnapshot?.assets && Array.isArray(prevSnapshot.assets)) {
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for (const a of prevSnapshot.assets) prevByName.set(a.symbol, a);
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}
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const prevAgeMs = prevSnapshot?.ts ? now - prevSnapshot.ts : Infinity;
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// Treat stale prior snapshot (>3× cadence = 900s) as cold start.
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const coldStart = !prevSnapshot || prevAgeMs > 900_000;
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// Info-log unseen xyz: perps once per run so ops sees when Hyperliquid adds
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// commodity/FX markets we could add to the whitelist.
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const whitelisted = new Set(ASSETS.map((a) => a.symbol));
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const unknownXyz = validated.universe
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.map((/** @type {{ name: string }} */ u) => u.name)
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.filter((name) => typeof name === 'string' && name.startsWith('xyz:') && !whitelisted.has(name));
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if (unknownXyz.length > 0) {
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console.log(` Unknown xyz: perps upstream (not whitelisted): ${unknownXyz.slice(0, 20).join(', ')}${unknownXyz.length > 20 ? ` (+${unknownXyz.length - 20} more)` : ''}`);
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}
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const assets = [];
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for (const meta of ASSETS) {
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const ctx = ctxBySymbol.get(meta.symbol);
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if (!ctx) {
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// Whitelisted symbol absent from upstream — carry forward prior with stale flag.
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const prev = prevByName.get(meta.symbol);
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if (!prev) continue; // never seen, skip silently (don't synthesize)
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const missing = (prev.missingPolls || 0) + 1;
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if (missing >= STALE_SYMBOL_DROP_AFTER_POLLS) {
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console.warn(` Dropping ${meta.symbol} — missing for ${missing} consecutive polls`);
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continue;
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}
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assets.push({
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...prev,
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stale: true,
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staleSince: prev.staleSince || now,
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missingPolls: missing,
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});
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continue;
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}
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const prev = coldStart ? null : prevByName.get(meta.symbol);
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const asset = computeAsset(meta, ctx, prev, { coldStart });
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assets.push(asset);
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}
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// Snapshot warmup = any asset still building a baseline. Reflects real
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// component-score readiness, not just the first poll after cold start.
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const warmup = assets.some((a) => a.warmup === true);
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return {
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ts: now,
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fetchedAt: new Date(now).toISOString(),
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warmup,
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assetCount: assets.length,
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assets,
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};
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}
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export function validateFn(snapshot) {
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return !!snapshot && Array.isArray(snapshot.assets) && snapshot.assets.length >= 12;
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}
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// ── Entry point ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
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const isMain = process.argv[1]?.endsWith('seed-hyperliquid-flow.mjs');
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if (isMain) {
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const prevSnapshot = await readSeedSnapshot(CANONICAL_KEY);
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await runSeed('market', 'hyperliquid-flow', CANONICAL_KEY, async () => {
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const upstream = await fetchHyperliquidMetaAndCtxs();
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return buildSnapshot(upstream, prevSnapshot);
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}, {
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ttlSeconds: CACHE_TTL_SECONDS,
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validateFn,
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sourceVersion: 'hyperliquid-info-metaAndAssetCtxs-v1',
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recordCount: (snap) => snap?.assets?.length || 0,
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}).catch((err) => {
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const cause = err.cause ? ` (cause: ${err.cause.message || err.cause.code || err.cause})` : '';
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console.error('FATAL:', (err.message || err) + cause);
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process.exit(1);
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});
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}
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