Elie Habib 184e82cb40 feat(resilience): PR 3A — net-imports denominator for sovereignFiscalBuffer (#3380)
PR 3A of cohort-audit plan 2026-04-24-002. Construct correction for
re-export hubs: the SWF rawMonths denominator was gross imports, which
double-counted flow-through trade that never represents domestic
consumption. Net-imports fix:

  rawMonths = aum / (grossImports × (1 − reexportShareOfImports)) × 12

applied to any country in the re-export share manifest. Countries NOT
in the manifest get gross imports unchanged (status-quo fallback).

Plan acceptance gates — verified synthetically in this PR:

  Construct invariant. Two synthetic countries, same SWF, same gross
  imports. A re-exports 60%; B re-exports 0%. Post-fix, A's rawMonths
  is 2.5× B's (1/(1-0.6) = 2.5). Pinned in
  tests/resilience-net-imports-denominator.test.mts.

  SWF-heavy exporter invariant. Country with share ≤ 5%: rawMonths
  lift < 5% vs baseline (negligible). Pinned.

What shipped

1. Re-export share manifest infrastructure.
   - scripts/shared/reexport-share-manifest.yaml (new, empty) — schema
     committed; entries populated in follow-up PRs with UNCTAD
     Handbook citations.
   - scripts/shared/reexport-share-loader.mjs (new) — loader + strict
     validator, mirrors swf-manifest-loader.mjs.
   - scripts/seed-recovery-reexport-share.mjs (new) — publishes
     resilience:recovery:reexport-share:v1 from manifest. Empty
     manifest = valid (no countries, no adjustment).

2. SWF seeder uses net-imports denominator.
   - scripts/seed-sovereign-wealth.mjs exports computeNetImports(gross,
     share) — pure helper, unit-tested.
   - Per-country loop: reads manifest, computes denominatorImports,
     applies to rawMonths math.
   - Payload records annualImports (gross, audit), denominatorImports
     (used in math), reexportShareOfImports (provenance).
   - Summary log reports which countries had a net-imports adjustment
     applied with source year.

3. Bundle wiring.
   - Reexport-Share runs BEFORE Sovereign-Wealth in the recovery
     bundle so the SWF seeder reads fresh re-export data in the same
     cron tick.
   - tests/seed-bundle-resilience-recovery.test.mjs expected-entries
     updated (6 → 7) with ordering preservation.

4. Cache-prefix bump (per cache-prefix-bump-propagation-scope skill).
   - RESILIENCE_SCORE_CACHE_PREFIX: v11 → v12
   - RESILIENCE_RANKING_CACHE_KEY: v11 → v12
   - RESILIENCE_HISTORY_KEY_PREFIX: v6 → v7 (history rotation prevents
     30-day rolling window from mixing pre/post-fix scores and
     manufacturing false "falling" trends on deploy day).
   - Source of truth: server/worldmonitor/resilience/v1/_shared.ts
   - Mirrored in: scripts/seed-resilience-scores.mjs,
     scripts/validate-resilience-correlation.mjs,
     scripts/backtest-resilience-outcomes.mjs,
     scripts/validate-resilience-backtest.mjs,
     scripts/benchmark-resilience-external.mjs, api/health.js
   - Test literals bumped in 4 test files (26 line edits).
   - EXTENDED tests/resilience-cache-keys-health-sync.test.mts with
     a parity pass that reads every known mirror file and asserts
     both (a) canonical prefix present AND (b) no stale v<older>
     literals in non-comment code. Found one legacy log-line that
     still referenced v9 (scripts/seed-resilience-scores.mjs:342)
     and refactored it to use the RESILIENCE_RANKING_CACHE_KEY
     constant so future bumps self-update.

Explicitly NOT in this PR

- liquidReserveAdequacy denominator fix. The plan's PR 3A wording
  mentions both dims, but the RESERVES ratio (WB FI.RES.TOTL.MO) is a
  PRE-COMPUTED WB series; applying a post-hoc net-imports adjustment
  mixes WB's denominator year with our manifest-year, and the math
  change belongs in PR 3B (unified liquidity) where the α calibration
  is explicit. This PR stays scoped to sovereignFiscalBuffer.
- Live re-export share entries. The manifest ships EMPTY in this PR;
  entries with UNCTAD citations are one-per-PR follow-ups so each
  figure is individually auditable.

Verified

- tests/resilience-net-imports-denominator.test.mts — 9 pass (construct
  contract: 2.5× ratio gate, monotonicity, boundary rejections,
  backward-compat on missing manifest entry, cohort-proportionality,
  SWF-heavy-exporter-unchanged)
- tests/reexport-share-loader.test.mts — 7 pass (committed-manifest
  shape + 6 schema-violation rejections)
- tests/resilience-cache-keys-health-sync.test.mts — 5 pass (existing 3
  + 2 new parity checks across all mirror files)
- tests/seed-bundle-resilience-recovery.test.mjs — 17 pass (expected
  entries bumped to 7)
- npm run test:data — 6714 pass / 0 fail
- npm run typecheck / typecheck:api — green
- npm run lint / lint:md — clean

Deployment notes

Score + ranking + history cache prefixes all bump in the same deploy.
Per established v10→v11 precedent (and the cache-prefix-bump-
propagation-scope skill):
- Score / ranking: 6h TTL — the new prefix populates via the Railway
  resilience-scores cron within one tick.
- History: 30d ring — the v7 ring starts empty; the first 30 days
  post-deploy lack baseline points, so trend / change30d will read as
  "no change" until v7 accumulates a window.
- Legacy v11 keys can be deleted from Redis at any time post-deploy
  (no reader references them). Leaving them in place costs storage
  but does no harm.
2026-04-24 18:14:04 +04:00

World Monitor

Real-time global intelligence dashboard — AI-powered news aggregation, geopolitical monitoring, and infrastructure tracking in a unified situational awareness interface.

GitHub stars GitHub forks Discord License: AGPL v3 TypeScript Last commit Latest release

Web App  Tech Variant  Finance Variant  Commodity Variant  Happy Variant

Download Windows  Download macOS ARM  Download macOS Intel  Download Linux

Documentation  ·  Releases  ·  Contributing

World Monitor Dashboard


What It Does

  • 500+ curated news feeds across 15 categories, AI-synthesized into briefs
  • Dual map engine — 3D globe (globe.gl) and WebGL flat map (deck.gl) with 45 data layers
  • Cross-stream correlation — military, economic, disaster, and escalation signal convergence
  • Country Intelligence Index — composite risk scoring across 12 signal categories
  • Finance radar — 92 stock exchanges, commodities, crypto, and 7-signal market composite
  • Local AI — run everything with Ollama, no API keys required
  • 5 site variants from a single codebase (world, tech, finance, commodity, happy)
  • Native desktop app (Tauri 2) for macOS, Windows, and Linux
  • 21 languages with native-language feeds and RTL support

For the full feature list, architecture, data sources, and algorithms, see the documentation.


Quick Start

git clone https://github.com/koala73/worldmonitor.git
cd worldmonitor
npm install
npm run dev

Open localhost:5173. No environment variables required for basic operation.

For variant-specific development:

npm run dev:tech       # tech.worldmonitor.app
npm run dev:finance    # finance.worldmonitor.app
npm run dev:commodity  # commodity.worldmonitor.app
npm run dev:happy      # happy.worldmonitor.app

See the self-hosting guide for deployment options (Vercel, Docker, static).


Tech Stack

Category Technologies
Frontend Vanilla TypeScript, Vite, globe.gl + Three.js, deck.gl + MapLibre GL
Desktop Tauri 2 (Rust) with Node.js sidecar
AI/ML Ollama / Groq / OpenRouter, Transformers.js (browser-side)
API Contracts Protocol Buffers (92 protos, 22 services), sebuf HTTP annotations
Deployment Vercel Edge Functions (60+), Railway relay, Tauri, PWA
Caching Redis (Upstash), 3-tier cache, CDN, service worker

Full stack details in the architecture docs.


Flight Data

Flight data provided gracefully by Wingbits, the most advanced ADS-B flight data solution.


Data Sources

WorldMonitor aggregates 65+ external data sources across geopolitics, finance, energy, climate, aviation, cyber, military, infrastructure, and news intelligence. See the full data sources catalog for providers, feed tiers, and collection methods.


Contributing

Contributions welcome! See CONTRIBUTING.md for guidelines.

npm run typecheck        # Type checking
npm run build:full       # Production build

License

AGPL-3.0 for non-commercial use. Commercial license required for any commercial use.

Use Case Allowed?
Personal / research / educational Yes
Self-hosted (non-commercial) Yes, with attribution
Fork and modify (non-commercial) Yes, share source under AGPL-3.0
Commercial use / SaaS / rebranding Requires commercial license

See LICENSE for full terms. For commercial licensing, contact the maintainer.

Copyright (C) 2024-2026 Elie Habib. All rights reserved.


Author

Elie HabibGitHub

Contributors

Security Acknowledgments

We thank the following researchers for responsibly disclosing security issues:

  • Cody Richard — Disclosed three security findings covering IPC command exposure, renderer-to-sidecar trust boundary analysis, and fetch patch credential injection architecture (2026)

See our Security Policy for responsible disclosure guidelines.


worldmonitor.app  ·  docs.worldmonitor.app  ·  finance.worldmonitor.app  ·  commodity.worldmonitor.app

Star History

Star History Chart
Description
Mirrored from GitHub
Readme AGPL-3.0 382 MiB
Languages
TypeScript 49.1%
JavaScript 47%
CSS 2.9%
HTML 0.4%
Rust 0.3%
Other 0.1%